The Matchday 5 Premier League clash between Sunderland and Aston Villa will take place on September 21 at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland vs. Aston Villa: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Sunderland
Regis Le Bris's side has been a pleasant surprise, unexpectedly sitting in 7th place in the league table. The team has made the most of their home support, defeating West Ham (3-0) and Brentford (2-1) in the new season. While they haven't scored away yet, they did earn a point in their last match, drawing 0-0 with Crystal Palace.
- Before the last match, the club had not drawn in the Premier League and Championship for 11 games (4 wins and 7 losses).
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 4 of Sunderland's last 5 games in England's top two divisions.
- At least one team failed to score in 7 of the club's last 10 matches in the Premier League and Championship.
Predicted lineup for Sunderland (4-3-3)
Robin Rüf – Nordi Mukiele, Omar Alderete, Reinildo Mandava, Tray Hame – Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Habib Diarra – Chemsdine Talbi, Simon Adingra, Wilson Isidor.
Aston Villa
The Birmingham side has been the biggest disappointment at the start of the season. The team suffered two defeats and also drew 0-0 with Newcastle and Everton. As a result, they find themselves in the relegation zone with two points. Interestingly, the club hasn't scored in five consecutive Premier League matches. Additionally, Aston Villa lost to Brentford on penalties in the League Cup midweek.
- The club's winless streak in the league stands at 5 matches (2 draws and 3 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in Aston Villa's last 8 Premier League games.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Aston Villa's last 8 Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (5-3-2)
Emiliano Martinez – Lamar Bogarde, Tyrone Mings, Matty Cash, Lucas Digne, Ezri Konsa – Emiliano Buendía, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans – Ollie Watkins, Morgan Rogers.
Midfielders Boubacar Kamara and Ross Barkley, along with defender Andres Garcia, will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Sam Barrott (England)
Matches – 25 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 118;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 24%.
Sunderland vs. Aston Villa: Match Prediction
The hosts were expected to be among the bottom three, while the visitors were anticipated to be in the European competition spots. However, after four rounds, the situation is reversed: Sunderland is near the top, while the Birmingham side is among the bottom three. I expect Unai Emery's team to struggle to climb out of this position, as they've only managed to earn two points despite a favorable schedule.
Regis Le Bris's side will aim to maximize their home advantage. As we can see, they handle mid-table and lower-ranked Premier League teams well at home, and it will be interesting to see how they fare against European competition representatives from the Premier League. So far, Sunderland has two home wins in the Premier League with a total of five goals scored. Meanwhile, Aston Villa has failed to win or even score in three consecutive away matches.
My prediction – Sunderland win or draw
